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Exit Polls Round Up: BJP Clear Winner, say all

polling boothWhether India Today or CNN-IBN or NewsX channel, all predict BJP victory and a win of clear majority in their exit poll surveys.

Here is a round up of all the available exit poll surveys: CNN-IBN Lokniti and ABP-Nielsen both project around 281 seats for the BJP led NDA.

The CNN-IBN Lokniti combine gives NDA 270 – 282 seats, the BJP 230 – 242, UPA 92-102 and Congress 72 – 82. The Times Now – ORG poll gives BJP 249 seats, which is 23 seats short of a majority.

CNN-IBN-Lokniti has said that UPA will win 92-102 and the Congress 72 – 82, whereas ABP Nielsen has predicted 97 seats for Congress and gave 4 seats to AAP.

Aam Aadmi Party idealogue Yogendra Yadav said he may go with the CNN-IBN predictions, but not agree about his party getting merely four but many more. “People are looking for a change. And BJP and Mr Modi are promising to provide that,” Yadav told CNN-IBN. On Narendra Modi’s image build up to poll frey, he said, “My concern is like Western countries, in India too, the ‘projected image’ may become the big issue.”

NewsX, a TV channel poll survey has projected at the national level the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) winning 289 Lok Sabha seats, more than the mark of 272 required for a majority. The NewsX-CVoter survey shows the BJP getting as many as 251 seats, the best performance after the 182 seats won by the party in 1998 and 1999. The survey shows the Congress-led UPA getting about 101 seats, down from the 262 it had won in 2009 elections.

Voting ended on Monday with a record 540 million people pressing their ballot box choices in a massive polling exercise, first time in human history. The final phase of voting in 41 constituencies ended at 6.00pm on Monday, with the first exit polls soon predicting a clear swing in favour of BJP PM candidate Narendra Modi.

Even the India Today-CICERO exit poll predicts the BJP-led NDA coalition getting a majority with 272 seats in the Lok Sabha, while the Congress-led UPA ending the frey with 115 seats.

The ABP-Nielsen survey also predicted more than 272 seats for the BJP-led NDA and 110 for the Congress-led UPA. Congress spokesman Shakeel Ahmed refuted the outcome of opinion polls. “We anticipate that we will be able to attain a majority with our alliance partners, but all calls will be taken by (the) party after final results are announced,” he told reporters at a press conference in New Delhi.

The official counting of elections will be held on Friday.

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