Whether India reaches full literacy by 2021 or not may be a big question but certainly the Internet will penetrate almost two-thirds of its population, according to a Cisco report.
Currently, India’s internet users are about 373 million (28% of population) and expected to reach 829 million(82.9 crore) or 59% by 2021, said the global networking giant on Friday. In its forecast titled “Visual Networking Index (VNI) Complete Forecast”, Cisco said there will be two billion connected or networked devices in 2021 in India, up from 1.4 billion in 2016.
“Mobile networks, devices and connections in India are not only getting smarter in their computing capabilities but are also evolving from lower-generation network connectivity (2G) to higher-generation network connectivity (3G, 3.5G, and 4G or LTE),” said Sanjay Kaul India Head of Cisco.
“Combining device capabilities with faster, higher bandwidth and more intelligent networks is leading to wide adoption of high bandwidth data, video and advanced multimedia applications that contribute to increased mobile and Wi-Fi traffic,” Kaul said.
The overall IP traffic is expected to grow four-fold from 2016 to 2021, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30 percent and reach 6.5 Exabytes of data per month in 2021, up from 1.7 Exabytes per month in 2016, Cisco said in its forecast.
The report said machine-to-machine (M2M) connections will be 22% of the total two billion connected devices, which will account for 5% of IP traffic by 2021. Improvements in IoT applications such as smart meters, package tracking, digital health monitors and other M2M services will grow by 21% in the next five years.
Video content in overall internet traffic growth will grow up to 76% by 2021 from the current level of 57%. “India will reach 84 billion Internet video minutes per month by 2021, which is 160,000 years of video per month, or about 32,000 video minutes every second,” Cisco said in its forecast.