As UP Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav took over the split Samajwadi Party, expelling the family rivals and Amar Singh and making his father a Marga Darshak or a mentor of the party, the hazy situation over the future political scenario ended with the impending state assembly elections just three months away.
The power seat in Uttar Pradesh matters most to both national parties and BJP has been hopeful that PM Narendra Modi’s demonetisation may win back the support of UP voter.
Instead of fading into background, Akhiles has called the shot to show his father, uncle and Amar singh who the real leader is and the move does not come in a hollow pot but with full of reason and resounding support from the base.
His father and SP party founder Mulayam Singh Yaup politics dav will have to choose between son and brother and his initial choice will remain his brother and party president Shivpal Yadav. With Amar Singh in toe, Mulayam may expel Akhilesh Yadav for the second time now within two days.
Next the old coterie will meet the governor and seek a floor test for the support that the Chief Minister enjoys. As is already evident, it is likely that Akhilesh Yadav will stand to win in the Assembly too as majority MLAs are with him now. But this drama will remain shortlived as all the political parties and ticket aspirants are keen on Assembly elections within three months.
Secondly, BSP, BJP and Congress will have to change their ground rules for the next UP elections. BSP is buoyant that a weakened SP will yield more votes in its favour while Congress is happy that Akhilesh may prove its winning face in UP.
BJP has all along worked in isolation in UP hoping that Modi charisma would work wonders in UP with Amit Shah playing the game behind the scenes. But the party is equally aware that Akhiles bereft of his uncles and Amar Singh stnds out as an exemplary warrior to the voter who may bring him back for all his grass roots work.
From distributing laptops to students and promising to waive off loans for the rural poor, he may move deftly to win the actual voter who matters in the elections now. There the changed equations will speak for themselves to see Akhiles back in office for the second term.